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Nvidia, the $3 trillion AI Posterchild, is scheduled to report its revenue on Wednesday, February 26th. The company will continue to report robust demand and persuasive outlook for its products. Stocks may popped – according to data on how NVIDIA responds to post revenue.
However, there are greater risks in the US economy and it is worth taking into consideration now.
What is it?
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The fear of inflation has subsided, but it has not disappeared. If anything, Trump’s bold moves have sparked fears about resuming inflation, as tariffs and immigration moves. All this means that the US economy could reach a rough spot and, worse, it could lead to a recession. Here we’ll explain the analysis of macros in pictures and what it means to Nvidia.
These are significant risks when geopolitical uncertainty increases due to bold moves from the new Trump administration. After all, trade is uncertain, with everyone, including Canada, Mexico and Europe, being called to the negotiation table for long-standing allies.
How resilient is NVDA inventory in the course of a recession?
NVDA stocks have been worse than the Benchmark S&P 500 Index during the last three recessions.
Inflation shock (January 2022 to May 2023)
•NVDA stocks fell 66% from a peak of $33 on November 19, 2021 to $11 on October 14, 2022.
•Stocks were fully recovered at the impact peak before expansion by May 25, 2023 – it will take 154 days for the S&P 500 to recover while it takes 317 days
•Since then increased to a high of $149.43 on January 6, 2025, and is currently trading at around $135.
Apart from that, if you want to get upside down with a smoother ride than individual stocks like NVIDIA, consider a high-quality portfolio that outperforms the S&P and has recorded more than 91% returns since its inception.
Covid Recession (February to April 2020)
•NVDA stocks fell 37.6% from a high of $7.83 on February 19, 2020 to $4.89 on March 16, 2020.
•Stocks were fully recovered at the pre-Covid peak by May 11, 2020. It took the S&P 500 148 days to recover, and it took 56 days.
Great Recession (December 2007 to June 2009)
•During the 2007-09 recession, NVDA stocks fell from a peak of $0.91 on October 17, 2007 to $0.14 on November 20, 2008.
•However, by April 27, 2016, it was fully recovered at its pre-recession peak. This took the S&P 500 to 1480 days and losses and recovery to recover.
How low is our dashboard Nvidia stocks lower than the market crash? There is a detailed analysis of how stocks ran during and after the previous market crash.
Are you not very satisfied with the unstable nature of NVDA stocks? The Trefis High Quality (HQ) portfolio features a collection of 30 shares and has a track record of comfortably surpassing the S&P 500 over the past four years. why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio Stocks offered better returns with less risk to the benchmark index. As is evident in the performance metrics from the HQ portfolio, the roller coaster rides less.
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